Coming soon. In this talk, I explore how fragmented scientific structures — across disciplines, tools, and institutions — limit our ability to anticipate the future. I reflect on the importance of reconnection and integrated approaches for strengthening Earth system predictability and societal resilience.
In this segment, I explain why forecasts beyond 1–2 weeks remain challenging and how integrated Earth-system approaches can extend predictability. We discuss the “predictability desert” at subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales and why improved forecasts matter for agriculture, water planning, energy, and climate resilience.
This piece urges the scientific community to join forces to overcome the subseasonal-to-seasonal predictability gap, emphasizing the societal need for better forecasts and the importance of integrated atmosphere–land–ocean research.